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Chapter One: Dark clouds rolled in from the east, slowly creeping over the mid-afternoon sky as the clouds seemed to be headed towards the Ilween Vale. The Vale was mostly empty, with a handful of living villages and towns scattered over the wide area. Abandoned farms steads and broken keeps littered the country side. Bandits, wild animals and monsters roam freely through out the Vale, threatening anyone who travels more than a few miles away from one of the surviving settlements. Traveling along the road or river is usually safe - usually. But every now and then, travelers come to bad ends between towns. The Ilween Vale is a Northern land, at times it can see blankets of snow - winters are windy and bitterly cold. The Ilween River is too big to freeze fully expect for a few weeks in the coldest part of the year. The summers are cool and mild. There is a large city build from the runes of an even larger city, Gillamore, the cross roads of Ilween Vale. Gillamore has a population of 1,50; 900 or so live in the country side with in a few miles of the town. The people of Gillamore are mostly Witches and a few Humans. The leader of Gillamore is a Witch Noble named Malina Daiana Latham. She is in charge of the city's justice, defense and laws. The Lady's husband, Hymphrey Wren Latham appointed a city council to look after routine commerce and public projects. He also commands the Gillamore Guard numbers sixty warriors, who also serve as constables. The King could call up to 350 militia at need. The guard used a tower as there barracks named Raven's Keep. The sound of metal ringing as it slammed against metal filled the air around the training grounds. A massive eight foot tall male with prominent suborbital ridges above his glowing bright green eyes stood there watching. His grey skin was extremely tough with bony growths called "lithoderms" that littered his body. These growths are roughly the size of a coin and appears like studded pebbles on his arms, shoulders, torso and head. One of the most distinctive features of his skin was the darker, vertically symmetrical patches of skin that covered his entire body. The massive male was a magical being called a Troll. The Trolls protected the magick users of the (Goth) Kingdom. The male's keep eyes were focused on his two best students as they trained. A 5'6" male with dark blue eyes, the scleras were even ice blue. He had fiery - red hair pulled into a pony tail with a few locks framing his face. His thinly shapped eyebrows were set in an expression of concentration as he focused his energies through his body. The energy traveled through him, the fine hairs on his arms stood up as the energy went to his hands. As his opponent watched, a icy blue light appeared as two nine - teen inch black daggers formed in his hands. His opponent was a 6'2" pale male with short black hair that touched his ears. A mole was under his right eye, the only mark on his skin. "Nicely done, Little Brother." The male's voice was thick with an accent. The young teen gave a slight grin before rushing forward, he swung hard at the other's face only for him to duck and lash out with a kick. The blow landed hard sending him skirting backwards. The young boy gasped, the daggers falling from his hands only to vanish from the physical world. The older male watched as his younger brother fell to his knees gasping for breath. "Bastard." He wheezed only for his brother to chuckle. "I didn't hit you that hard, Fiore." He said before he caught the look that the Troll was giving him. "Enough, Hearst." He said. Hearst ran his fingers through his hair in a rough fashion that had a strand hanging down his face. His bold features of his face caught the light on the high bridge of his nose and valiant eyebrow. The Troll knew that his hard cut mouth marked him with a stoic air, but his eyes seemed to make his gaze even more brilliant. Hearst sighed before holding out his hand and the runes on his arms glowed. "Gae Dearg!!" A demonic scarlet spear two meters long that renders magical enchantments and projects useless by severing all ties with mana. Hearst kept Gae Dearg tightly wrapped in amulet cloths from the tip to the handle, sealing it's ability. The tip of Gae Deang touched Fiore's chin. "I believe I win." He said with a glad grin. Fiore glared up at Hearst before nodding. "Aye. . .you do." He said trough clinched teeth. "Enough!!" The Troll's voice boomed causing them both to jump, looking they could see disapproval on his face. The two paled as they saw a 5'2" girl standing there with long silver hair and red eyes. She wore a black cloak with a hood, with matching black - ruffled ankle boots with gray soles, with a leotard - like long sleeved shirt that was blueish black with cuffs at her wrist. On her cloak, she had a circular black/ red jewel set in a gold plate that attaches the whole thing together. Around her waist she had a red and gold belt with the same jewels around it, while her legs were exposed. The belt tied at the black like a cord. "Congratulations, you two excel in the idiot factor." A calm and cold voice came from the silver haired girl. The two boys tensed up hearing her voice. "Princess Arissa, there is no need for that." Said the Troll. Arissa's scarlet red eyes turned to him causing the giant male to flinch. "Unlike you, I will not coddle them." Her voice was soft but as sharp as any blade. The Troll tensed hearing her but it was Fiore who spoke. "Be respectful of the General." He said only to flinch when she looked at him. "I have respect for Bolder. But I will speak my mind." He voice was like a whip to them. "It is alright. The Princess can speak her mind." Bolder said. Hearst rolled his eyes. "Temperamental as always." He said coolly. Arissa opened her mouth to speak but Bolder held up his hand cutting off her words.l "Enough. All of you." Bolder said coldly. "Since you three are all fired up, then you will fight against me in the ring." He said causing all three of them to look at him in shock. "I think I'd rather watch, thank you." Arissa said rubbing her right arm through her sleeve. Bolder chuckled but shook his head. "Not likely. You may be the "Crowned" Princess but you have no respect for your blood - kin." He said causing her to look down at her feet causing her hair to fall in to her face. "I see. . .so be it." Arissa walked into the stone ring, unclipping her cloak as she went. Throwing it over the ring before walking to the center. Bolder flexed his biceps against the leather bands as he walked into the ring. Compared to Arissa, Bolder was a giant!! Arissa backed up a step as the Troll walked to the center of the ring. "Remember, I gave you three the chance to learn respect willingly but you have elected the way of pain." He said popping his knuckles. Arissa got into a fighting stance even though she didn't have much hope of beating him. She darted forward lashing out with a quick jab with her right hand only to have Bolder black her punch with his hand. With that same motion, he grabbed her by the wrist with one hand and her leotard by the other before throwing her into the air. There was a popping sound as Arissa flew through the air, Bolder was left holding a brown and white wooden puppet prosthetic arm. Arissa hit the ground rather hard, the air escaped her lungs due to the impact but she wouldn't let them know it hurt. A shadow blocked out the sun as she laid there, opening her eyes she saw that it was Bolder. "Here, you are lass." He said helping her up and handing her the prosthetic limb. Arissa eyed the limb before looking at him. "Thank you, sir." She said coolly before taking it and going behind a tree. Looking around, Arissa touched her belt. The jewels glowed before a rune stone formed in her hand. "tnavres ym htrof llac I!!" (I call forth my servant) The rune stone glowed and floated out of her hand. A brillant light happened as the rune stone released a human sized marionette dressed in a black frilly short dress and a pair of lacy black boots, over with she wears a corset. Her accessories were a scarf and a puffy hat. The marionette turned to her and bowed to her. "My Lady." Arissa looked the marionette over before nodding to herself. "I require your assistance." She said, the marionette dipped her head and placed her right hand over her breast. "Of course, My Lady." With that, Arissa set the prosthetic arm on a rock before turning to allow her access to the back of her leotard. The marionette moved Arissa's hair out of the way before unlacing the leotard. Arissa was thankful for the help but she would never allow anyone to know. Once the marionette had laced up the straps of the prosthetic, Arissa's eyes glowed bright red as she moved the arm. "Thank you." She muttered as she slipped her leotard back into place. Once it was laced up in the back, the Marionette returned to the rune stone. Arissa made it back to the ring in time to see Hearst thrown through the air. A light grin touched her lips before seeing Fiore go flying as well. 'That is going to hurt.' She thought to herself. There was a loud "oof" when the two males hit the ground as Arissa grabbed her cloak. "Had enough?" Bolder asked. "Yes, thank you." Her tune was sarcastic but Bolder nodded as she slipped the cloak on her shoulders. "If I had been able to use my Runes, it would have been different." She said to him. To Arissa's shock, Bolder laughed rather brightly. "Right you are, Princess. But it's good I don't train ya in Mana Combat. Lord Snow can have all the fun, Aye!!" Her cheeks flushed lightly hearing his words but she felt pride at his words. Arissa looked to the ring as Hearst and Fiore made their way to them, both battered and bruised from being thrown around. "Let's move out. Your parents are waiting." He said to the three of them. Arissa walked with Bolder, her eyes as always watchingful for danger. "I hear your doing well in your lessons." Fiore said suddenly to her. Arissa glanced at her older brother of two minutes since they were twins. "Yes, my lessons are going well. Lord Snow is strong Manaed and a hard teacher." She said clearly happy by her teacher. She remembered her lessons that morning. It had taken place in her tower, it had been about the marionette. The marionette moved when Arissa moved her fingers. She had caused the doll to dance and fight its own shadow. A sigh left her before she looked down at her own marionette arm. . .the only way that she was able to move her arm was by her own Mana. "Since my Mana Craft is different from others. . .It is hard for my to have teachers. . .it is even different from Mother." She said softly, a grunt escaped Fiore. "You will most likely have another lesson once more." He said and she nodded. "I hope it is about Runes. . .I like Runes." A sigh left Arissa as she looked around the grounds. Many soldiers were sparing against each other, few warriors ran back and forth. A sound caused her to look up as two large dragons flew over head. "They are moving North." She whispered. "Do you think that Mother will get the Dragon King to bend the knee??" Fiore asked only to have Hearst sigh. "It's a lot to ask the King of the North to bend the knee. But we need them to protect our skies if the (Steam Puck) Kingdom's metal birds attack." He said calmly though he was still worried. Arissa nodded as they walked, her thoughts on the Dragon King. "Things are getting interesting." She muttered as she took the left trail toward the largest tower of Gillamore. Her movements were slow as she walked down the path, pulling up her hood as she did. Arissa's scarlet eyes shifted as she looked around before she looked to the arch of the wall that circled around her tower. "!emoh ym dnuora sreirrab eht htrof nepO" (Open forth the barriers around my home!) There was a shimmering in the air after Arissa finished speaking the words. A sigh left her lips as the energy left her that she used for the spell. "Sansa. Arya. Com here." She called as she walked through the arch toward the tower. The door of the tower opened to show two beautiful marionettes both wearing simple black dresses with a top hat on their heads. "Greetings, Mine Lady!!" They spoke in unison before curtsying to her. She watched as the two marionettes stood there waiting for their orders. "We have prepared a bath for you, Mine Lady." The marionette with red hair that reached her lower back of her gown. Arissa meet her emerald green eyes with her own. "Thank you, Sansa." Arissa said once more. The blonde marionette stepped forward and collected Arissa's cloak as she walked to the tower. "A raven has come form your Mother, re-guesting your appearance at the Name Day Feast." Arissa raised a think eyebrow as she meet her blue eyes. "Very well. . .after all it is my own Name Day." She said as she past through the thrash hold. Her cloth boots made soft noses as she walked into the tower, her eyes glancing around at the different wooden limbs that hung from the ceiling. She reached up and touched one of the arms that hung there. She gently placed her cheek against the rough ironwood. "Hmm. . .I'd rather stay and work." She muttered before going up the stone stairs that lead to the second floor of her tower. Arissa stood there as the marionette, Sansa unlaced her leotard. The strings made a soft woos as Sansa loosened the leotard. A soft sigh left Arissa as the tightness around her rips eased as she removed the leotard. Goosebumps formed on her pale skin as the cool air touched her skin. Arissa shivered as she removed her shoes and walked to the tub. The tub was made of a hard silver and sat on a raised platform. "How was your day, Mine Lady?" Sansa asked. Arissa stopped at the tub before placing her hand in the steaming water. "I was forced to watch my idiot brothers train." She said as her hand traveled through the water. Arissa sat on the rim of the tub before unblucking her prosthetic leg and placed the leg against the chair. A sigh left her as she rubbed the scarred stub before she lowered herself into the hot water. The hot water felt amazing on her skin, she closed her eyes and put her head back sighing as he body relaxed. It wasn't long before Sansa started to wash her hair with herbal oils. Arya messaged her foot for her as she relaxed. It wasn't long before Arissa was clean and resting on her bed. Arya had a silver tray with warm oils sitting on the night stand. She poured a handful on the back of Arissa before messaging it into her skin. "Have you heard anything from the War Council??" Arissa asked. "It would appear that the young Prince Hansel is leading a small force here but their Majesties due not seem worried." Sansa said as she laid out a beautiful long dress that fished tailed out at the knees. She set a pair of lacy shoes down near the dress as well as a corset, a cross belt hung on the chair and a small feathered hat. Arya rubbed the oil down Arissa's back. "They say that his parents are riding in one of those steam metal carriages." She said talking about the steam powered automobile that featured state of the art technology from the (Steampunk) Kingdom. Arissa closed her eyes as she listened. The enemy was coming but her parents didn't appear worried. . .was this a move for peace? She wondered to herself. "Seems that we need to make a move now." She muttered before getting up. Once she had her prosthetics were in place and Arissa was dressed, she walked to the mirror and looked down at her self. Raising a thin eyebrow, Arissa ran her hands down the corset. "The thirteen witch clans will be here tonight. . .those with male heirs will try to have it arranged to marry me. . .those with female heirs will be after my brothers." She said to her maids as a small tilt of the edge of her mouth happened. "I feel sorry for them." She said with a cruel tone. Her maids exchanged looks before Sansa spoke. "Is there anything else, Mine Lady??" She asked. With a wave of her hand, Arissa dismissed them. "Now. . .I must make my move." She muttered to herself fixing her cloak around her shoulders. Arissa felt someone enter her tower. "Fiore. . .what brings you to my tower??" She asked her brother, looking him over she saw his fiery - red hair hung at his shoulders. "I have come to walk with you to the ballroom." He said with a thick Victorian accent. Arissa raised a thin eyebrow at this. "You do this of your own free will??" She asked. Fiore nodded. "Yes, Arissa." He said with a calm smile. "Swear on the old code." She said causing Fiore's eyes to widen a fraction but he knelt down on one knee in front of her. "I, Fiore, choose the old code as my own. I am here by sworn to valor, to speak only the truth, to use arms to defend the helpless, to use might to uphold the weak. My heart knows only virtue and my wrath will undo the wicked." He spoke the words with all his heart, it was the only code of the Knights of the Kingdom. Arissa gave a cool grin before holding her hand out to him. "Thank you." She said as he stood. "The Dragon Royals are here for your Name Day." He informed her. Arissa sighed looking out the window of the tower. "King Arthur and Queen Artoria are here. . .did they bring Princess Avalon?" She asked causing Fiore's cheeks to flush a light red. "I believe that they have brought the Princess." He said. Arissa nodded knowing that the Royal Dragons would be in their Human Forms. "Come. . .we will be late." Fiore said taking hold of her hand. The two of them walked down the spiral stairs before exiting. Arissa was rather happy to have Fiore there with her, even though he did most of the talking. The two walked outside, the wind had picked up a bit blowing flower petals through the grounds. '. . .I sense a darkness coming. . .' She thought to herself, she did not believe that Fiore would take her serious. They walked into the palace, floating candles gave off light. Arissa looked at the candles over before seeing a group of guards in the hallway. When the guards noticed them, they're backs went straight. Arissa didn't spare the guards a glance as she walked past them. The large black doors of the throne room opened slowly revealing a gigantic man standing over six foot in height. He had large muscles that gave off the impression of being able to kill a bear with his bare hands. He was sternly chiseled features with eyes that gave off a dazzling glow and burning red hair and beard. He wore bronze armor with cuffs and graves with fringes that left his arms and thighs unprotected. Next to the gigantic man was a beautiful women with long silver hair and red eyes. "Arissa, you look beautiful." The woman said. Arissa curtsied to the couple. "Thank you, Mother. Father." She said to Malina and Humphrey, the King and Queen of the (Goth) Kingdom. Arissa watched her parents as she waited. Humphrey was lounged in his throne of dragon glass and bone. "To day is a special day, mine daughter." He said in a thick accent. Arissa walked to the window, she held her hands against her stomach. "Yes. . .but I noted that the (Steampunk)'s Prince and that the King of the North are coming." She said to them. Out of the corner of her eyes, she noticed them exchange looks. "Yes. . .Arissa, you are the Princess of this Kingdom. . .it is time that you do your duty." Malina said knowing that this would be hard for her daughter. Arissa turned to her mother, her eyes showing nothing of the storm in her. "I am to be married off??" She asked. A huff left Humphrey before he propped his chin on his hand while he looked at his daughter. "I want my only daughter happy and safe." He said before standing up. He towered over his family as he walked to them. "I will not allow you to suffer only more due to this war." He said as he walked to the window, his arms behind his back. "Do I get a say??" She asked as she turned back to the window. She risked glancing at Humphrey, she saw his jaw set. "Yes. . .there will be a masquerade ball tonight for your Name Day, Arissa." He said before looking down at her. "Prince Hansel (Steampunk) and Mordred (King of the North's son) will be there." He said calmly. Arissa nodded. "King of the North; Fox of the South; the Dragons of the Mountains; and the Raven of the West. . .all coming to my Name Day??" She asked. "Its not just about you, Arissa." Said a voice causing them to turn around, she saw it was Hearst leaning against the doorway. Arissa slowly ran her eyes down her brother's form. "I suppose it is about you and Avalon?" She asked causing Hearst to tense as he glared at her. "At least I know what love is. Your a unfeeling doll!!" Hearst said coldly only for Humphrey to glare at him. "That is enough out of you, Boy!!" Humphrey growled causing Hearst to tense up. "Father. . .it's fine." Arissa spoke looking out the window. She knew she had to keep a grip on her emotions. "I will "play" my role. . .but do not forget, Hearst. . .one of us must be grounded." She said before walking out of the room. 'A doll. . .was that what others saw her as?' She wondered to herself as she walked down the hall. If they wanted a doll. . .then she would give them the best "doll" ever. [[Note: please be honest with your opinios and tell me what you liked or didn't like.]]
Stock Market Week Ahead for the trading week beginning February 18th, 2019
Hey what's up StockMarket! Good morning and happy Saturday to all of you on this subreddit. I hope everyone made out pretty nicely last week in the market, and are ready for the new trading week ahead! :) Here is everything you need to know to get you ready for the trading week beginning February 18th, 2019.
What to watch in the market in the week ahead - (Source)
The Fed calmed the markets in late January when it said it could stop raising interest rates, but investors are watching the release of its meeting minutes for any sign the Fed could veer off its easy path. "It's hard to imagine the Fed sounding as dovish in the minutes, as [Fed Chair Jerome] Powell sounded in the briefing . We do think the minutes will be bearish. As far as the general tenor, it's hard to see it more dovish than it was on Jan. 30," said Michael Schumacher, director strategy at Wells Fargo. The Fed, at that meeting, held rates steady and emphasized it could pause in its rate hiking cycle. In what felt like an about face from its December meeting, Powell also emphasized that the Fed would be flexible with its balance sheet. The Fed releases the minutes of its meeting Wednesday afternoon. Positive comments on trade talks between U.S. and Chinese officials, and a commitment to continue talks in the coming week helped boost stocks Friday and could continue to support the market in the week ahead. Investors were also watching for more information on a Commerce Department report, which could be viewed as a market negative if it recommended tariffs on European automobiles. The president has 90 days from this weekend to act on the report. Stocks were higher in the past week, even with Thursday's sell off on stunningly weak December retail sales data. The S&P 500 was up 2.5 percent to 2,775, and the Dow was at 25,883, up 3 percent for the week. After December retail sales slumped 1.7 percent, Walmart earnings on Tuesday will be even more important. The retail sales data was contrary to other reports from retailers and others that showed solid holiday sales, so Walmart's comments about what it is seeing now as well as during the end of the fourth quarter will be important. "We're going to watch them very closely, and that's because of the retail sales number. The government shutdown, plus the market going down, everyone talking about a recession coming. Did people cut back spending a little bit? Was it real?" said Vinay Pande, head of trading strategies at UBS Global Wealth Management. Walmart's comparable store sales in the fourth quarter were expected to be up about 3 percent, and its earnings per share are expected to be flat at $1.33, according to FactSet. Economists cut their expectations for fourth quarter growth to under 2.5 percent after the retail sales number, which was viewed as suspect by some. Goldman Sachs economists called the report an outlier, and said that as much of 1 percentage point of the drop is unexplained. "Some special factors likely contributed to the fall in core retail sales, including an early Thanksgiving, the December stock-market sell-off, and the start of the government shutdown," it said. So the coming week's data will also be important, including weekly jobless claims Thursday, which were higher for a third week this past week. The concern is that rising claims could be an early warning sign of a slowdown in the labor market. "Unemployment claims are rising, at the same time employment growth and income growth are not suggesting this is the case," said Pande. Data on home builder sentiment comes out Tuesday morning, and existing home sales and unemployment claims Thursday. Pande said the market broke out in the past week from a sideways trade it fell into earlier in the month. "Until last week, we just went back to the status quo of November," he said, adding the sell off in December was way overdone. The market has been at an impasse between the lift from value, and the drag from what he called the idiosyncratic risks, like trade, the shutdown threat and other geopolitical risk. "I think the balance shifted a bit. The bad news on the idiosyncratic front is being overwhelmed by the less bad," Pande said. Pande said there's a risk that investors will read the Fed's minutes in the coming week a little more hawkish than it intends. There could be discussion in the minutes about the balance sheet unwind, which some traders fear has been making markets less liquid. At the Jan. 30 meeting and before, Powell had backtracked on a comment he made after the December meeting that the unwind was on "autopilot." "It's not a gigantic concession to say I'm flexible. This QT was going to end at any rate at the end of the year," said Pande, adding "we could misinterpret the minutes." Schumacher said the bond market will be looking for details on which securities the Fed might be rolling off of its balance sheet and which it will be replacing with new purchases, as their holdings mature. "We think potentially the biggest move in the bond market as far as the minutes go is the composition of the balance sheet. It's not so much the equilibrium number, or when the Fed gets there...There's been talk that the Fed should shorten the duration of its Treasurys. That should mean a steeper curve and higher long term yields," Schumacher said. If the Fed does signal it wants to hold shorter-duration securities, yields on the 10-year and 30-year bond could rise.
This past week saw the following moves in the S&P:
Day After Presidents’ Day: Improving, But Record Still Bearish
Yesterday we pointed out the day before Presidents’ Day was amongst the poorest performing holiday over the long run. The day after is even weaker over the long run. However since 2012, the market’s performance after the long holiday weekend has improved, most notably during the last seven years with S&P 500 positive in six of these years.
Happy Valentine’s Day everyone! With the S&P 500 Index up 9.8% for the year as of yesterday, this is its best start up to this point since 1991. So should investors love to see this much green this early in the year, or should they be leery they might be heartbroken down the road? An old adage on Wall Street suggests, “As goes January, so goes the year.” With stocks having posted their best January in more than 30 years, it’s time to take a closer look at the January barometer, first discussed in 1972 by Yale Hirsh of the Stock Trader’s Almanac. Simply put, if the first month of the year is green, it bodes well for the rest of the year (and vice versa). Let’s get one thing straight—this didn’t work last year. The S&P 500 was up more than 5% in January of 2018, and it closed the year in the red. Nonetheless, the January barometer has a strong track record, and one we shouldn’t ignore. As shown below in the LPL Chart of the Day, the numbers confirm that when the S&P 500 has been green in January, the rest of the year (final 11 months) has been up 11.7% on average, well above the overall average return of 7.6% for the final 11 months of the year. However, when that first month was red, the final 11 months were up only 1.2% on average. According to LPL Research Senior Market Strategist Ryan Detrick, “The January barometer isn’t perfect, but it does have a pretty solid track record. Now where things really get interesting is when that first month was up more than 7% (like in 2019), the return over the final 11 months actually became stronger.”
Of course, we don’t suggest investing based simply on what the first month does, but with a more accommodative Federal Reserve, fiscal policy still flowing, and likely continued better-than-expected corporate earnings growth, this is yet another sign that 2019 may see a continuation of the bull market, as we outlined previously in our Outlook 2019. In all the instances when the S&P 500 was up more than 7% at the end of January, the rest of the year gained five out of six times, with only 1987 negative. Still, a 10.3% return over the final 11 months implies we’d see new highs before 2019 is over. Last, be open to a pullback, as a median correction of 8.1% has happened in the past after super strong starts to the year.
“Bulls make money, bears make money, and pigs get slaughtered.” Old Wall Street saying. The Chinese New Year (often called the Lunar New Year) kicked off Tuesday, February 5, and with it came the Year of the Pig. Although we would never suggest investing based on the zodiac signs—it is important to note that the Year of the Pig has historically been quite strong for equities. Since the Chinese New Year typically starts between late-January and mid-February, we looked at the 12-month return of the S&P 500 Index starting in late January dating all the way back to 1928.* And wouldn’t you know it? The Year of the Pig is up nearly 15% on average. Oink oink indeed!
“The year of the pig is the twelfth of the 12 animal signs of the Chinese zodiac, and the pig is considered a symbol of wealth in Chinese culture, which is quite interesting given some strong equity returns have taken place during this year. In fact, out of the 12 zodiac signs, no year sports a better average return,” explained LPL Senior Market Strategist Ryan Detrick.
Be aware that a small sample size and the pure randomness of this makes us want to stress not to ever invest purely based on the zodiac signs. Still, here’s to the year of the pig playing out for the bulls once again!
STOCK MARKET VIDEO: Stock Market Analysis Video for February 15th, 2019
([CLICK HERE FOR NEXT WEEK'S BIGGEST DECLINE IN EARNINGS EXPECTATIONS!]())
(NONE.)
([CLICK HERE FOR NEXT WEEK'S HIGHEST INCREASE IN EARNINGS EXPECTATIONS!]())
(NONE.) Below are some of the notable companies coming out with earnings releases this upcoming trading week ahead which includes the date/time of release & consensus estimates courtesy of Earnings Whispers:
Monday 2.18.19 Before Market Open:
([CLICK HERE FOR MONDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!]())
NONE. (U.S. MARKETS CLOSED IN OBSERVANCE OF PRESIDENT'S DAY.)
Monday 2.18.19 After Market Close:
([CLICK HERE FOR MONDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!]())
NONE. (U.S. MARKETS CLOSED IN OBSERVANCE OF PRESIDENT'S DAY.)
([CLICK HERE FOR FRIDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!]())
NONE.
iQIYI, Inc. $21.80
iQIYI, Inc. (IQ) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 4:30 PM ET on Thursday, February 21, 2019. The consensus estimate is for a loss of $0.69 per share on revenue of $961.45 million and the Earnings Whisper ® number is ($0.71) per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 66% expecting an earnings beat The company's guidance was for revenue of $944.00 million to $983.00 million. Short interest has increased by 5.8% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 12.0% from its open following the earnings release to be 11.7% below its 200 day moving average of $24.69. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release. On Friday, January 11, 2019 there was some notable buying of 36,783 contracts of the $20.00 call and 36,114 contracts of the $20.00 put expiring on Friday, March 15, 2019. Option traders are pricing in a 8.3% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 5.3% move in recent quarters.
Roku Inc (ROKU) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 4:00 PM ET on Thursday, February 21, 2019. The consensus earnings estimate is $0.03 per share on revenue of $261.52 million and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $0.06 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 83% expecting an earnings beat The company's guidance was for revenue of $255.00 million to $265.00 million. Consensus estimates are for earnings to decline year-over-year by 50.00% with revenue increasing by 38.91%. Short interest has increased by 111.7% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 1.9% from its open following the earnings release to be 7.4% above its 200 day moving average of $48.51. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release. On Monday, January 28, 2019 there was some notable buying of 10,296 contracts of the $46.00 call expiring on Friday, July 19, 2019. Option traders are pricing in a 14.4% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 23.6% move in recent quarters.
Walmart Inc. (WMT) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 7:00 AM ET on Tuesday, February 19, 2019. The consensus earnings estimate is $1.33 per share on revenue of $139.30 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $1.36 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 69% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for earnings to decline year-over-year by 0.00% with revenue increasing by 2.23%. Short interest has decreased by 33.1% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted lower by 2.3% from its open following the earnings release to be 8.7% above its 200 day moving average of $91.98. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. On Tuesday, February 12, 2019 there was some notable buying of 8,053 contracts of the $100.00 call expiring on Friday, February 22, 2019. Option traders are pricing in a 5.1% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 6.0% move in recent quarters.
CVS Health (CVS) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 6:55 AM ET on Wednesday, February 20, 2019. The consensus earnings estimate is $2.07 per share on revenue of $53.71 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $2.11 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 76% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 7.81% with revenue increasing by 11.01%. Short interest has decreased by 75.3% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted lower by 6.7% from its open following the earnings release to be 0.8% below its 200 day moving average of $70.12. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. On Friday, February 15, 2019 there was some notable buying of 10,183 contracts of the $75.00 call expiring on Thursday, April 18, 2019. Option traders are pricing in a 4.9% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 3.7% move in recent quarters.
Baidu.com Inc. (BIDU) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 4:30 PM ET on Thursday, February 21, 2019. The consensus earnings estimate is $1.79 per share on revenue of $3.88 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $1.85 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 77% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for earnings to decline year-over-year by 23.83% with revenue increasing by 7.18%. Short interest has increased by 62.1% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted lower by 7.8% from its open following the earnings release to be 20.1% below its 200 day moving average of $212.87. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release. On Tuesday, January 22, 2019 there was some notable buying of 5,233 contracts of the $175.00 put expiring on Friday, June 21, 2019. Option traders are pricing in a 6.7% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 6.5% move in recent quarters.
Advance Auto Parts Inc. (AAP) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 6:30 AM ET on Tuesday, February 19, 2019. The consensus earnings estimate is $1.14 per share on revenue of $2.10 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $1.17 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 49% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 48.05% with revenue increasing by 3.09%. Short interest has increased by 8.9% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted lower by 7.6% from its open following the earnings release to be 11.1% above its 200 day moving average of $153.05. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. On Tuesday, February 12, 2019 there was some notable buying of 885 contracts of the $180.00 call expiring on Friday, March 15, 2019. Option traders are pricing in a 7.2% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 11.1% move in recent quarters.
Trade Desk, Inc. (TTD) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 4:00 PM ET on Thursday, February 21, 2019. The consensus earnings estimate is $0.80 per share on revenue of $148.18 million and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $0.89 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 91% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 110.53% with revenue increasing by 44.36%. Short interest has increased by 90.3% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 42.0% from its open following the earnings release to be 37.4% above its 200 day moving average of $115.09. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release. On Wednesday, February 6, 2019 there was some notable buying of 845 contracts of the $145.00 put expiring on Friday, March 15, 2019. Option traders are pricing in a 15.3% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 21.2% move in recent quarters.
Medtronic, Inc. (MDT) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 6:45 AM ET on Tuesday, February 19, 2019. The consensus earnings estimate is $1.24 per share on revenue of $7.55 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $1.26 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 53% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 5.98% with revenue increasing by 2.46%. Short interest has increased by 2.7% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted lower by 2.7% from its open following the earnings release to be 2.0% above its 200 day moving average of $90.44. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release. On Wednesday, January 30, 2019 there was some notable buying of 7,069 contracts of the $90.00 call expiring on Friday, March 15, 2019. Option traders are pricing in a 3.0% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 3.1% move in recent quarters.
Domino's Pizza, Inc. (DPZ) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 7:30 AM ET on Thursday, February 21, 2019. The consensus earnings estimate is $2.66 per share on revenue of $1.09 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $2.72 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 66% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 37.11% with revenue increasing by 22.26%. Short interest has increased by 100.2% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 6.4% from its open following the earnings release to be 4.8% above its 200 day moving average of $268.87. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. Option traders are pricing in a 4.7% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 4.8% move in recent quarters.
Genuine Parts Company (GPC) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 8:35 AM ET on Tuesday, February 19, 2019. The consensus earnings estimate is $1.33 per share on revenue of $4.58 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $1.34 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 50% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 18.75% with revenue increasing by 8.86%. Short interest has decreased by 6.4% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 13.1% from its open following the earnings release to be 11.2% above its 200 day moving average of $96.77. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. On Wednesday, February 6, 2019 there was some notable buying of 958 contracts of the $110.00 call expiring on Friday, August 16, 2019. Option traders are pricing in a 3.5% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 4.6% move in recent quarters.
What are you all watching for in this upcoming trading week ahead? Have a fantastic long weekend and a great trading week ahead to all here on StockMarket! :)
Stock Market Week Ahead for the trading week beginning February 18th, 2019
Hey what's up stocks! Good morning and happy Saturday to all of you on this subreddit. I hope everyone made out pretty nicely last week in the market, and are ready for the new trading week ahead! :) Here is everything you need to know to get you ready for the trading week beginning February 18th, 2019.
What to watch in the market in the week ahead - (Source)
The Fed calmed the markets in late January when it said it could stop raising interest rates, but investors are watching the release of its meeting minutes for any sign the Fed could veer off its easy path. "It's hard to imagine the Fed sounding as dovish in the minutes, as [Fed Chair Jerome] Powell sounded in the briefing . We do think the minutes will be bearish. As far as the general tenor, it's hard to see it more dovish than it was on Jan. 30," said Michael Schumacher, director strategy at Wells Fargo. The Fed, at that meeting, held rates steady and emphasized it could pause in its rate hiking cycle. In what felt like an about face from its December meeting, Powell also emphasized that the Fed would be flexible with its balance sheet. The Fed releases the minutes of its meeting Wednesday afternoon. Positive comments on trade talks between U.S. and Chinese officials, and a commitment to continue talks in the coming week helped boost stocks Friday and could continue to support the market in the week ahead. Investors were also watching for more information on a Commerce Department report, which could be viewed as a market negative if it recommended tariffs on European automobiles. The president has 90 days from this weekend to act on the report. Stocks were higher in the past week, even with Thursday's sell off on stunningly weak December retail sales data. The S&P 500 was up 2.5 percent to 2,775, and the Dow was at 25,883, up 3 percent for the week. After December retail sales slumped 1.7 percent, Walmart earnings on Tuesday will be even more important. The retail sales data was contrary to other reports from retailers and others that showed solid holiday sales, so Walmart's comments about what it is seeing now as well as during the end of the fourth quarter will be important. "We're going to watch them very closely, and that's because of the retail sales number. The government shutdown, plus the market going down, everyone talking about a recession coming. Did people cut back spending a little bit? Was it real?" said Vinay Pande, head of trading strategies at UBS Global Wealth Management. Walmart's comparable store sales in the fourth quarter were expected to be up about 3 percent, and its earnings per share are expected to be flat at $1.33, according to FactSet. Economists cut their expectations for fourth quarter growth to under 2.5 percent after the retail sales number, which was viewed as suspect by some. Goldman Sachs economists called the report an outlier, and said that as much of 1 percentage point of the drop is unexplained. "Some special factors likely contributed to the fall in core retail sales, including an early Thanksgiving, the December stock-market sell-off, and the start of the government shutdown," it said. So the coming week's data will also be important, including weekly jobless claims Thursday, which were higher for a third week this past week. The concern is that rising claims could be an early warning sign of a slowdown in the labor market. "Unemployment claims are rising, at the same time employment growth and income growth are not suggesting this is the case," said Pande. Data on home builder sentiment comes out Tuesday morning, and existing home sales and unemployment claims Thursday. Pande said the market broke out in the past week from a sideways trade it fell into earlier in the month. "Until last week, we just went back to the status quo of November," he said, adding the sell off in December was way overdone. The market has been at an impasse between the lift from value, and the drag from what he called the idiosyncratic risks, like trade, the shutdown threat and other geopolitical risk. "I think the balance shifted a bit. The bad news on the idiosyncratic front is being overwhelmed by the less bad," Pande said. Pande said there's a risk that investors will read the Fed's minutes in the coming week a little more hawkish than it intends. There could be discussion in the minutes about the balance sheet unwind, which some traders fear has been making markets less liquid. At the Jan. 30 meeting and before, Powell had backtracked on a comment he made after the December meeting that the unwind was on "autopilot." "It's not a gigantic concession to say I'm flexible. This QT was going to end at any rate at the end of the year," said Pande, adding "we could misinterpret the minutes." Schumacher said the bond market will be looking for details on which securities the Fed might be rolling off of its balance sheet and which it will be replacing with new purchases, as their holdings mature. "We think potentially the biggest move in the bond market as far as the minutes go is the composition of the balance sheet. It's not so much the equilibrium number, or when the Fed gets there...There's been talk that the Fed should shorten the duration of its Treasurys. That should mean a steeper curve and higher long term yields," Schumacher said. If the Fed does signal it wants to hold shorter-duration securities, yields on the 10-year and 30-year bond could rise.
This past week saw the following moves in the S&P:
Day After Presidents’ Day: Improving, But Record Still Bearish
Yesterday we pointed out the day before Presidents’ Day was amongst the poorest performing holiday over the long run. The day after is even weaker over the long run. However since 2012, the market’s performance after the long holiday weekend has improved, most notably during the last seven years with S&P 500 positive in six of these years.
Happy Valentine’s Day everyone! With the S&P 500 Index up 9.8% for the year as of yesterday, this is its best start up to this point since 1991. So should investors love to see this much green this early in the year, or should they be leery they might be heartbroken down the road? An old adage on Wall Street suggests, “As goes January, so goes the year.” With stocks having posted their best January in more than 30 years, it’s time to take a closer look at the January barometer, first discussed in 1972 by Yale Hirsh of the Stock Trader’s Almanac. Simply put, if the first month of the year is green, it bodes well for the rest of the year (and vice versa). Let’s get one thing straight—this didn’t work last year. The S&P 500 was up more than 5% in January of 2018, and it closed the year in the red. Nonetheless, the January barometer has a strong track record, and one we shouldn’t ignore. As shown below in the LPL Chart of the Day, the numbers confirm that when the S&P 500 has been green in January, the rest of the year (final 11 months) has been up 11.7% on average, well above the overall average return of 7.6% for the final 11 months of the year. However, when that first month was red, the final 11 months were up only 1.2% on average. According to LPL Research Senior Market Strategist Ryan Detrick, “The January barometer isn’t perfect, but it does have a pretty solid track record. Now where things really get interesting is when that first month was up more than 7% (like in 2019), the return over the final 11 months actually became stronger.”
Of course, we don’t suggest investing based simply on what the first month does, but with a more accommodative Federal Reserve, fiscal policy still flowing, and likely continued better-than-expected corporate earnings growth, this is yet another sign that 2019 may see a continuation of the bull market, as we outlined previously in our Outlook 2019. In all the instances when the S&P 500 was up more than 7% at the end of January, the rest of the year gained five out of six times, with only 1987 negative. Still, a 10.3% return over the final 11 months implies we’d see new highs before 2019 is over. Last, be open to a pullback, as a median correction of 8.1% has happened in the past after super strong starts to the year.
“Bulls make money, bears make money, and pigs get slaughtered.” Old Wall Street saying. The Chinese New Year (often called the Lunar New Year) kicked off Tuesday, February 5, and with it came the Year of the Pig. Although we would never suggest investing based on the zodiac signs—it is important to note that the Year of the Pig has historically been quite strong for equities. Since the Chinese New Year typically starts between late-January and mid-February, we looked at the 12-month return of the S&P 500 Index starting in late January dating all the way back to 1928.* And wouldn’t you know it? The Year of the Pig is up nearly 15% on average. Oink oink indeed!
“The year of the pig is the twelfth of the 12 animal signs of the Chinese zodiac, and the pig is considered a symbol of wealth in Chinese culture, which is quite interesting given some strong equity returns have taken place during this year. In fact, out of the 12 zodiac signs, no year sports a better average return,” explained LPL Senior Market Strategist Ryan Detrick.
Be aware that a small sample size and the pure randomness of this makes us want to stress not to ever invest purely based on the zodiac signs. Still, here’s to the year of the pig playing out for the bulls once again!
STOCK MARKET VIDEO: Stock Market Analysis Video for February 15th, 2019
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STOCK MARKET VIDEO: ShadowTrader Video Weekly 2.17.19
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(VIDEO NOT YET UP!) Here are the most notable companies (tickers) reporting earnings in this upcoming trading week ahead-
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([CLICK HERE FOR NEXT WEEK'S HIGHEST INCREASE IN EARNINGS EXPECTATIONS!]())
(NONE.) Below are some of the notable companies coming out with earnings releases this upcoming trading week ahead which includes the date/time of release & consensus estimates courtesy of Earnings Whispers:
Monday 2.18.19 Before Market Open:
([CLICK HERE FOR MONDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!]())
NONE. (U.S. MARKETS CLOSED IN OBSERVANCE OF PRESIDENT'S DAY.)
Monday 2.18.19 After Market Close:
([CLICK HERE FOR MONDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!]())
NONE. (U.S. MARKETS CLOSED IN OBSERVANCE OF PRESIDENT'S DAY.)
([CLICK HERE FOR FRIDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!]())
NONE.
iQIYI, Inc. $21.80
iQIYI, Inc. (IQ) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 4:30 PM ET on Thursday, February 21, 2019. The consensus estimate is for a loss of $0.69 per share on revenue of $961.45 million and the Earnings Whisper ® number is ($0.71) per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 66% expecting an earnings beat The company's guidance was for revenue of $944.00 million to $983.00 million. Short interest has increased by 5.8% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 12.0% from its open following the earnings release to be 11.7% below its 200 day moving average of $24.69. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release. On Friday, January 11, 2019 there was some notable buying of 36,783 contracts of the $20.00 call and 36,114 contracts of the $20.00 put expiring on Friday, March 15, 2019. Option traders are pricing in a 8.3% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 5.3% move in recent quarters.
Roku Inc (ROKU) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 4:00 PM ET on Thursday, February 21, 2019. The consensus earnings estimate is $0.03 per share on revenue of $261.52 million and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $0.06 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 83% expecting an earnings beat The company's guidance was for revenue of $255.00 million to $265.00 million. Consensus estimates are for earnings to decline year-over-year by 50.00% with revenue increasing by 38.91%. Short interest has increased by 111.7% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 1.9% from its open following the earnings release to be 7.4% above its 200 day moving average of $48.51. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release. On Monday, January 28, 2019 there was some notable buying of 10,296 contracts of the $46.00 call expiring on Friday, July 19, 2019. Option traders are pricing in a 14.4% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 23.6% move in recent quarters.
Walmart Inc. (WMT) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 7:00 AM ET on Tuesday, February 19, 2019. The consensus earnings estimate is $1.33 per share on revenue of $139.30 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $1.36 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 69% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for earnings to decline year-over-year by 0.00% with revenue increasing by 2.23%. Short interest has decreased by 33.1% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted lower by 2.3% from its open following the earnings release to be 8.7% above its 200 day moving average of $91.98. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. On Tuesday, February 12, 2019 there was some notable buying of 8,053 contracts of the $100.00 call expiring on Friday, February 22, 2019. Option traders are pricing in a 5.1% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 6.0% move in recent quarters.
CVS Health (CVS) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 6:55 AM ET on Wednesday, February 20, 2019. The consensus earnings estimate is $2.07 per share on revenue of $53.71 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $2.11 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 76% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 7.81% with revenue increasing by 11.01%. Short interest has decreased by 75.3% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted lower by 6.7% from its open following the earnings release to be 0.8% below its 200 day moving average of $70.12. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. On Friday, February 15, 2019 there was some notable buying of 10,183 contracts of the $75.00 call expiring on Thursday, April 18, 2019. Option traders are pricing in a 4.9% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 3.7% move in recent quarters.
Baidu.com Inc. (BIDU) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 4:30 PM ET on Thursday, February 21, 2019. The consensus earnings estimate is $1.79 per share on revenue of $3.88 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $1.85 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 77% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for earnings to decline year-over-year by 23.83% with revenue increasing by 7.18%. Short interest has increased by 62.1% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted lower by 7.8% from its open following the earnings release to be 20.1% below its 200 day moving average of $212.87. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release. On Tuesday, January 22, 2019 there was some notable buying of 5,233 contracts of the $175.00 put expiring on Friday, June 21, 2019. Option traders are pricing in a 6.7% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 6.5% move in recent quarters.
Advance Auto Parts Inc. (AAP) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 6:30 AM ET on Tuesday, February 19, 2019. The consensus earnings estimate is $1.14 per share on revenue of $2.10 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $1.17 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 49% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 48.05% with revenue increasing by 3.09%. Short interest has increased by 8.9% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted lower by 7.6% from its open following the earnings release to be 11.1% above its 200 day moving average of $153.05. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. On Tuesday, February 12, 2019 there was some notable buying of 885 contracts of the $180.00 call expiring on Friday, March 15, 2019. Option traders are pricing in a 7.2% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 11.1% move in recent quarters.
Trade Desk, Inc. (TTD) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 4:00 PM ET on Thursday, February 21, 2019. The consensus earnings estimate is $0.80 per share on revenue of $148.18 million and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $0.89 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 91% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 110.53% with revenue increasing by 44.36%. Short interest has increased by 90.3% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 42.0% from its open following the earnings release to be 37.4% above its 200 day moving average of $115.09. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release. On Wednesday, February 6, 2019 there was some notable buying of 845 contracts of the $145.00 put expiring on Friday, March 15, 2019. Option traders are pricing in a 15.3% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 21.2% move in recent quarters.
Medtronic, Inc. (MDT) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 6:45 AM ET on Tuesday, February 19, 2019. The consensus earnings estimate is $1.24 per share on revenue of $7.55 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $1.26 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 53% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 5.98% with revenue increasing by 2.46%. Short interest has increased by 2.7% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted lower by 2.7% from its open following the earnings release to be 2.0% above its 200 day moving average of $90.44. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release. On Wednesday, January 30, 2019 there was some notable buying of 7,069 contracts of the $90.00 call expiring on Friday, March 15, 2019. Option traders are pricing in a 3.0% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 3.1% move in recent quarters.
Domino's Pizza, Inc. (DPZ) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 7:30 AM ET on Thursday, February 21, 2019. The consensus earnings estimate is $2.66 per share on revenue of $1.09 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $2.72 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 66% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 37.11% with revenue increasing by 22.26%. Short interest has increased by 100.2% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 6.4% from its open following the earnings release to be 4.8% above its 200 day moving average of $268.87. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. Option traders are pricing in a 4.7% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 4.8% move in recent quarters.
Genuine Parts Company (GPC) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 8:35 AM ET on Tuesday, February 19, 2019. The consensus earnings estimate is $1.33 per share on revenue of $4.58 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $1.34 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 50% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 18.75% with revenue increasing by 8.86%. Short interest has decreased by 6.4% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 13.1% from its open following the earnings release to be 11.2% above its 200 day moving average of $96.77. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. On Wednesday, February 6, 2019 there was some notable buying of 958 contracts of the $110.00 call expiring on Friday, August 16, 2019. Option traders are pricing in a 3.5% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 4.6% move in recent quarters.
What are you all watching for in this upcoming trading week ahead? Have a fantastic long weekend and a great trading week ahead to all here on stocks! :)
Hi, I'm working on a novel project but I have no one to proofread. I need someone's honest opinions. Chapter I - Dark clouds rolled in from the east, slowly creeping over the mid-afternoon sky as the clouds seemed to be headed towards the Ilween Vale. The Vale was mostly empty, with a handful of living villages and towns scattered over the wide area. Abandoned farms steads and broken keeps littered the country side. Bandits, wild animals and monsters roam freely through out the Vale, threatening anyone who travels more than a few miles away from one of the surviving settlements. Traveling along the road or river is usually safe - usually. But every now and then, travelers come to bad ends between towns. The Ilween Vale is a Northern land, at times it can see blankets of snow - winters are windy and bitterly cold. The Ilween River is too big to freeze fully expect for a few weeks in the coldest part of the year. The summers are cool and mild. There is a large city build from the runes of an even larger city, Gillamore, the cross roads of Ilween Vale. Gillamore has a population of 1,50; 900 or so live in the country side with in a few miles of the town. The people of Gillamore are mostly Witches and a few Humans. The leader of Gillamore is a Witch Noble named Malina Daiana Latham. She is in charge of the city's justice, defense and laws. The Lady's husband, Hymphrey Wren Latham appointed a city council to look after routine commerce and public projects. He also commands the Gillamore Guard numbers sixty warriors, who also serve as constables. The King could call up to 350 militia at need. The guard used a tower as there barracks named Raven's Keep. The sound of metal ringing as it slammed against metal filled the air around the training grounds. A massive eight foot tall male with prominent suborbital ridges above his glowing bright green eyes stood there watching. His grey skin was extremely tough with bony growths called "lithoderms" that littered his body. These growths are roughly the size of a coin and appears like studded pebbles on his arms, shoulders, torso and head. One of the most distinctive features of his skin was the darker, vertically symmetrical patches of skin that covered his entire body. The massive male was a magical being called a Troll. The Trolls protected the magick users of the (Goth) Kingdom. The male's keep eyes were focused on his two best students as they trained. A 5'6" male with dark blue eyes, the scleras were even ice blue. He had fiery - red hair pulled into a pony tail with a few locks framing his face. His thinly shapped eyebrows were set in an expression of concentration as he focused his energies through his body. The energy traveled through him, the fine hairs on his arms stood up as the energy went to his hands. As his opponent watched, a icy blue light appeared as two nine - teen inch black daggers formed in his hands. His opponent was a 6'2" pale male with short black hair that touched his ears. A mole was under his right eye, the only mark on his skin. "Nicely done, Little Brother." The male's voice was thick with an accent. The young teen gave a slight grin before rushing forward, he swung hard at the other's face only for him to duck and lash out with a kick. The blow landed hard sending him skirting backwards. The young boy gasped, the daggers falling from his hands only to vanish from the physical world. The older male watched as his younger brother fell to his knees gasping for breath. "Bastard." He wheezed only for his brother to chuckle. "I didn't hit you that hard, Fiore." He said before he caught the look that the Troll was giving him. "Enough, Hearst." He said. Hearst ran his fingers through his hair in a rough fashion that had a strand hanging down his face. His bold features of his face caught the light on the high bridge of his nose and valiant eyebrow. The Troll knew that his hard cut mouth marked him with a stoic air, but his eyes seemed to make his gaze even more brilliant. Hearst sighed before holding out his hand and the runes on his arms glowed. "Gae Dearg!!" A demonic scarlet spear two meters long that renders magical enchantments and projects useless by severing all ties with mana. Hearst kept Gae Dearg tightly wrapped in amulet cloths from the tip to the handle, sealing it's ability. The tip of Gae Deang touched Fiore's chin. "I believe I win." He said with a glad grin. Fiore glared up at Hearst before nodding. "Aye. . .you do." He said trough clinched teeth. "Enough!!" The Troll's voice boomed causing them both to jump, looking they could see disapproval on his face. The two paled as they saw a 5'2" girl standing there with long silver hair and red eyes. She wore a black cloak with a hood, with matching black - ruffled ankle boots with gray soles, with a leotard - like long sleeved shirt that was blueish black with cuffs at her wrist. On her cloak, she had a circular black/ red jewel set in a gold plate that attaches the whole thing together. Around her waist she had a red and gold belt with the same jewels around it, while her legs were exposed. The belt tied at the black like a cord. "Congratulations, you two excel in the idiot factor." A calm and cold voice came from the silver haired girl. The two boys tensed up hearing her voice. "Princess Arissa, there is no need for that." Said the Troll. Arissa's scarlet red eyes turned to him causing the giant male to flinch. "Unlike you, I will not coddle them." Her voice was soft but as sharp as any blade. The Troll tensed hearing her but it was Fiore who spoke. "Be respectful of the General." He said only to flinch when she looked at him. "I have respect for Bolder. But I will speak my mind." He voice was like a whip to them. "It is alright. The Princess can speak her mind." Bolder said. Hearst rolled his eyes. "Temperamental as always." He said coolly. Arissa opened her mouth to speak but Bolder held up his hand cutting off her words.l "Enough. All of you." Bolder said coldly. "Since you three are all fired up, then you will fight against me in the ring." He said causing all three of them to look at him in shock. "I think I'd rather watch, thank you." Arissa said rubbing her right arm through her sleeve. Bolder chuckled but shook his head. "Not likely. You may be the "Crowned" Princess but you have no respect for your blood - kin." He said causing her to look down at her feet causing her hair to fall in to her face. "I see. . .so be it." Arissa walked into the stone ring, unclipping her cloak as she went. Throwing it over the ring before walking to the center. Bolder flexed his biceps against the leather bands as he walked into the ring. Compared to Arissa, Bolder was a giant!! Arissa backed up a step as the Troll walked to the center of the ring. "Remember, I gave you three the chance to learn respect willingly but you have elected the way of pain." He said popping his knuckles. Arissa got into a fighting stance even though she didn't have much hope of beating him. She darted forward lashing out with a quick jab with her right hand only to have Bolder black her punch with his hand. With that same motion, he grabbed her by the wrist with one hand and her leotard by the other before throwing her into the air. There was a popping sound as Arissa flew through the air, Bolder was left holding a brown and white wooden puppet prosthetic arm. Arissa hit the ground rather hard, the air escaped her lungs due to the impact but she wouldn't let them know it hurt. A shadow blocked out the sun as she laid there, opening her eyes she saw that it was Bolder. "Here, you are lass." He said helping her up and handing her the prosthetic limb. Arissa eyed the limb before looking at him. "Thank you, sir." She said coolly before taking it and going behind a tree. Looking around, Arissa touched her belt. The jewels glowed before a rune stone formed in her hand. "tnavres ym htrof llac I!!" (I call forth my servant) The rune stone glowed and floated out of her hand. A brillant light happened as the rune stone released a human sized marionette dressed in a black frilly short dress and a pair of lacy black boots, over with she wears a corset. Her accessories were a scarf and a puffy hat. The marionette turned to her and bowed to her. "My Lady." Arissa looked the marionette over before nodding to herself. "I require your assistance." She said, the marionette dipped her head and placed her right hand over her breast. "Of course, My Lady." With that, Arissa set the prosthetic arm on a rock before turning to allow her access to the back of her leotard. The marionette moved Arissa's hair out of the way before unlacing the leotard. Arissa was thankful for the help but she would never allow anyone to know. Once the marionette had laced up the straps of the prosthetic, Arissa's eyes glowed bright red as she moved the arm. "Thank you." She muttered as she slipped her leotard back into place. Once it was laced up in the back, the Marionette returned to the rune stone. Arissa made it back to the ring in time to see Hearst thrown through the air. A light grin touched her lips before seeing Fiore go flying as well. 'That is going to hurt.' She thought to herself. There was a loud "oof" when the two males hit the ground as Arissa grabbed her cloak. "Had enough?" Bolder asked. "Yes, thank you." Her tune was sarcastic but Bolder nodded as she slipped the cloak on her shoulders. "If I had been able to use my Runes, it would have been different." She said to him. To Arissa's shock, Bolder laughed rather brightly. "Right you are, Princess. But it's good I don't train ya in Mana Combat. Lord Snow can have all the fun, Aye!!" Her cheeks flushed lightly hearing his words but she felt pride at his words. Arissa looked to the ring as Hearst and Fiore made their way to them, both battered and bruised from being thrown around. "Let's move out. Your parents are waiting." He said to the three of them. Arissa walked with Bolder, her eyes as always watchingful for danger. "I hear your doing well in your lessons." Fiore said suddenly to her. Arissa glanced at her older brother of two minutes since they were twins. "Yes, my lessons are going well. Lord Snow is strong Manaed and a hard teacher." She said clearly happy by her teacher. She remembered her lessons that morning. It had taken place in her tower, it had been about the marionette. The marionette moved when Arissa moved her fingers. She had caused the doll to dance and fight its own shadow. A sigh left her before she looked down at her own marionette arm. . .the only way that she was able to move her arm was by her own Mana. "Since my Mana Craft is different from others. . .It is hard for my to have teachers. . .it is even different from Mother." She said softly, a grunt escaped Fiore. "You will most likely have another lesson once more." He said and she nodded. "I hope it is about Runes. . .I like Runes." A sigh left Arissa as she looked around the grounds. Many soldiers were sparing against each other, few warriors ran back and forth. A sound caused her to look up as two large dragons flew over head. "They are moving North." She whispered. "Do you think that Mother will get the Dragon King to bend the knee??" Fiore asked only to have Hearst sigh. "It's a lot to ask the King of the North to bend the knee. But we need them to protect our skies if the (Steam Puck) Kingdom's metal birds attack." He said calmly though he was still worried. Arissa nodded as they walked, her thoughts on the Dragon King. "Things are getting interesting." She muttered as she took the left trail toward the largest tower of Gillamore. Her movements were slow as she walked down the path, pulling up her hood as she did. Arissa's scarlet eyes shifted as she looked around before she looked to the arch of the wall that circled around her tower. "!emoh ym dnuora sreirrab eht htrof nepO" (Open forth the barriers around my home!) There was a shimmering in the air after Arissa finished speaking the words. A sigh left her lips as the energy left her that she used for the spell. "Sansa. Arya. Com here." She called as she walked through the arch toward the tower. The door of the tower opened to show two beautiful marionettes both wearing simple black dresses with a top hat on their heads. "Greetings, Mine Lady!!" They spoke in unison before curtsying to her. She watched as the two marionettes stood there waiting for their orders. "We have prepared a bath for you, Mine Lady." The marionette with red hair that reached her lower back of her gown. Arissa meet her emerald green eyes with her own. "Thank you, Sansa." Arissa said once more. The blonde marionette stepped forward and collected Arissa's cloak as she walked to the tower. "A raven has come form your Mother, re-guesting your appearance at the Name Day Feast." Arissa raised a think eyebrow as she meet her blue eyes. "Very well. . .after all it is my own Name Day." She said as she past through the thrash hold. Her cloth boots made soft noses as she walked into the tower, her eyes glancing around at the different wooden limbs that hung from the ceiling. She reached up and touched one of the arms that hung there. She gently placed her cheek against the rough ironwood. "Hmm. . .I'd rather stay and work." She muttered before going up the stone stairs that lead to the second floor of her tower. Arissa stood there as the marionette, Sansa unlaced her leotard. The strings made a soft woos as Sansa loosened the leotard. A soft sigh left Arissa as the tightness around her rips eased as she removed the leotard. Goosebumps formed on her pale skin as the cool air touched her skin. Arissa shivered as she removed her shoes and walked to the tub. The tub was made of a hard silver and sat on a raised platform. "How was your day, Mine Lady?" Sansa asked. Arissa stopped at the tub before placing her hand in the steaming water. "I was forced to watch my idiot brothers train." She said as her hand traveled through the water. Arissa sat on the rim of the tub before unblucking her prosthetic leg and placed the leg against the chair. A sigh left her as she rubbed the scarred stub before she lowered herself into the hot water. The hot water felt amazing on her skin, she closed her eyes and put her head back sighing as he body relaxed. It wasn't long before Sansa started to wash her hair with herbal oils. Arya messaged her foot for her as she relaxed. It wasn't long before Arissa was clean and resting on her bed. Arya had a silver tray with warm oils sitting on the night stand. She poured a handful on the back of Arissa before messaging it into her skin. "Have you heard anything from the War Council??" Arissa asked. "It would appear that the young Prince Hansel is leading a small force here but their Majesties due not seem worried." Sansa said as she laid out a beautiful long dress that fished tailed out at the knees. She set a pair of lacy shoes down near the dress as well as a corset, a cross belt hung on the chair and a small feathered hat. Arya rubbed the oil down Arissa's back. "They say that his parents are riding in one of those steam metal carriages." She said talking about the steam powered automobile that featured state of the art technology from the (Steampunk) Kingdom. Arissa closed her eyes as she listened. The enemy was coming but her parents didn't appear worried. . .was this a move for peace? She wondered to herself. "Seems that we need to make a move now." She muttered before getting up. Once she had her prosthetics were in place and Arissa was dressed, she walked to the mirror and looked down at her self. Raising a thin eyebrow, Arissa ran her hands down the corset. "The thirteen witch clans will be here tonight. . .those with male heirs will try to have it arranged to marry me. . .those with female heirs will be after my brothers." She said to her maids as a small tilt of the edge of her mouth happened. "I feel sorry for them." She said with a cruel tone. Her maids exchanged looks before Sansa spoke. "Is there anything else, Mine Lady??" She asked. With a wave of her hand, Arissa dismissed them. "Now. . .I must make my move." She muttered to herself fixing her cloak around her shoulders. Arissa felt someone enter her tower. "Fiore. . .what brings you to my tower??" She asked her brother, looking him over she saw his fiery - red hair hung at his shoulders. "I have come to walk with you to the ballroom." He said with a thick Victorian accent. Arissa raised a thin eyebrow at this. "You do this of your own free will??" She asked. Fiore nodded. "Yes, Arissa." He said with a calm smile. "Swear on the old code." She said causing Fiore's eyes to widen a fraction but he knelt down on one knee in front of her. "I, Fiore, choose the old code as my own. I am here by sworn to valor, to speak only the truth, to use arms to defend the helpless, to use might to uphold the weak. My heart knows only virtue and my wrath will undo the wicked." He spoke the words with all his heart, it was the only code of the Knights of the Kingdom. Arissa gave a cool grin before holding her hand out to him. "Thank you." She said as he stood. "The Dragon Royals are here for your Name Day." He informed her. Arissa sighed looking out the window of the tower. "King Arthur and Queen Artoria are here. . .did they bring Princess Avalon?" She asked causing Fiore's cheeks to flush a light red. "I believe that they have brought the Princess." He said. Arissa nodded knowing that the Royal Dragons would be in their Human Forms. "Come. . .we will be late." Fiore said taking hold of her hand. The two of them walked down the spiral stairs before exiting. Arissa was rather happy to have Fiore there with her, even though he did most of the talking. The two walked outside, the wind had picked up a bit blowing flower petals through the grounds. '. . .I sense a darkness coming. . .' She thought to herself, she did not believe that Fiore would take her serious. They walked into the palace, floating candles gave off light. Arissa looked at the candles over before seeing a group of guards in the hallway. When the guards noticed them, they're backs went straight. Arissa didn't spare the guards a glance as she walked past them. The large black doors of the throne room opened slowly revealing a gigantic man standing over six foot in height. He had large muscles that gave off the impression of being able to kill a bear with his bare hands. He was sternly chiseled features with eyes that gave off a dazzling glow and burning red hair and beard. He wore bronze armor with cuffs and graves with fringes that left his arms and thighs unprotected. Next to the gigantic man was a beautiful women with long silver hair and red eyes. "Arissa, you look beautiful." The woman said. Arissa curtsied to the couple. "Thank you, Mother. Father." She said to Malina and Humphrey, the King and Queen of the (Goth) Kingdom. Arissa watched her parents as she waited. Humphrey was lounged in his throne of dragon glass and bone. "To day is a special day, mine daughter." He said in a thick accent. Arissa walked to the window, she held her hands against her stomach. "Yes. . .but I noted that the (Steampunk)'s Prince and that the King of the North are coming." She said to them. Out of the corner of her eyes, she noticed them exchange looks. "Yes. . .Arissa, you are the Princess of this Kingdom. . .it is time that you do your duty." Malina said knowing that this would be hard for her daughter. Arissa turned to her mother, her eyes showing nothing of the storm in her. "I am to be married off??" She asked. A huff left Humphrey before he propped his chin on his hand while he looked at his daughter. "I want my only daughter happy and safe." He said before standing up. He towered over his family as he walked to them. "I will not allow you to suffer only more due to this war." He said as he walked to the window, his arms behind his back. "Do I get a say??" She asked as she turned back to the window. She risked glancing at Humphrey, she saw his jaw set. "Yes. . .there will be a masquerade ball tonight for your Name Day, Arissa." He said before looking down at her. "Prince Hansel (Steampunk) and Mordred (King of the North's son) will be there." He said calmly. Arissa nodded. "King of the North; Fox of the South; the Dragons of the Mountains; and the Raven of the West. . .all coming to my Name Day??" She asked. "Its not just about you, Arissa." Said a voice causing them to turn around, she saw it was Hearst leaning against the doorway. Arissa slowly ran her eyes down her brother's form. "I suppose it is about you and Avalon?" She asked causing Hearst to tense as he glared at her. "At least I know what love is. Your a unfeeling doll!!" Hearst said coldly only for Humphrey to glare at him. "That is enough out of you, Boy!!" Humphrey growled causing Hearst to tense up. "Father. . .it's fine." Arissa spoke looking out the window. She knew she had to keep a grip on her emotions. "I will "play" my role. . .but do not forget, Hearst. . .one of us must be grounded." She said before walking out of the room. 'A doll. . .was that what others saw her as?' She wondered to herself as she walked down the hall. If they wanted a doll. . .then she would give them the best "doll" ever.
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